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Author: Bill Bonfanti Created: 7/17/2008 1:04 PM
Bill's box office predictions and more.

This weekend at the box office moviegoers are offered 2 new movies. The latest 3-D animated adventure, Disney Pixar’s Up, floats into theatres everywhere and director Sam Raimi returns to his horror roots with fright flick, Drag Me to Hell. With major competition from Night at the Museum can Up fly as high as prior Pixar hits? Will Drag Me to Hell kill at the box office? Let’s take a look.

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The battle for the 4 day holiday box office crown wasn’t as tight as some experts expected with Ben Stiller’s Night at the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian easily terminating Terminator Salvation by a distance of about $16M. Star Trek and Angels & Demons fought it out for third place while new comedy spoof, Dance Flick, boogied its way to fifth place.

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Welcome to the Memorial Day edition of predictions, one of the biggest box office weekends of the year. There are two big films opening, comedy sequel, Night at the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian and Terminator Salvation, the fourth entry of the popular series. Dance Flick a spoof of dance movies from the new generation of Wayans also opens this weekend. The question is whether Ben Stiller can terminate Christian Bale at the box office. I believe he can. It should be noted that all predictions are for the 4 day span of Friday to Monday.

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The only new release this weekend, Angels & Demons, the sequel to 2006’s The Da Vinci Code, opened at #1 with a decent debut. Star Trek continued to set the box office on fire, enjoying an amazing second weekend and after a huge drop off its second weekend, popular mutant superhero, Wolverine, clawed his way to a big third weekend.

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This weekend at multiplexes, audiences are offered only one new choice, Angels & Demons, the sequel to 2006’s smash hit, The Da Vinci Code. Will audiences rush out to see a sequel to the critically maligned original? We’ll have to wait and see. The real question this weekend is how high the U.S.S. Enterprise can fly after last weekend’s terrific $76.5M take? Let’s take a look.

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To no one’s surprise, the newly refurbished U.S.S. Enterprise beamed up a ton of box office gold as Star Trek warped to the top of the box office this weekend. Mutant superhero, Wolverine took a beating in his second weekend plummeting nearly 70% from last weekend’s $85M tally and new comedy, Next Day Air couldn’t achieve liftoff, landing with a thud in 6th place.

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This weekend at theatres, moviegoers will finally get to see the cool, rebooted version of Star Trek courtesy of J.J. Abrams. Also being released, Next Day Air starring Donald Faison (Turk on Scrubs) and Mos Def, but let’s be honest, this weekend is all about Captain Kirk and crew. The question this weekend is not whether the new U.S.S. Enterprise can fly (it can and it will), but how high can it fly? Trek will still have some competition for its target audience from Wolverine, but I don’t expect that to matter all that much. Let’s take a look.

Let me start by saying that I’m a big fan of J.J. Abrams, after all the man is responsible for the best TV show ever (in my opinion), Lost, not to mention Alias, Cloverfield, Mission Impossible III and his latest series, Fringe. In...

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The summer movie season got off to a big start as X-Men Origins: Wolverine opened to big numbers. Matthew McConaughey’s latest romantic comedy, Ghosts of Girlfriends Past, opened slightly weaker than expected with so-so numbers and 3-D toon, Battle for Terra, fizzled at the box office, not even making the top 10.

Wolverine sliced and diced all competition, opening at #1 with a strong $87M take, which was a couple of notches lower than my $95M forecast. As it stands now, Wolverine is the fourth best opening for a summer kick off movie. Only fellow Marvel superheroes have managed better openings. Take a look.

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The summer box office season is upon us as mutant superhero, Wolverine slices and dices his way to multiplexes everywhere in the prequel/spin-off, X-Men Origins: Wolverine. Matthew McConaughey returns to his strongest genre in romantic comedy, Ghosts of Girlfriends Past and animated CGI characters will go to war in Battle for Terra. Let’s see how it all shakes out.

Clearly it is no mystery that Wolverine will have a big opening and be the #1 movie this weekend; so the question becomes how big is big? In my recent summer box office predictions, I had Wolverine pegged to make $110M on its opening with a total domestic run of $275M, but with not much support from critics and mixed reviews at best, I now think those numbers will be lower. I think this will eat more into its overall gross and not so much into its opening frame. Make no mistake about it Wolverine is going to have a big opening in line with last year’s $102M Iron Man opening. There is much to consider with this movie. First, Wolverine is a more popular character than Iron Man, ask any comic geek (I’m one of them) and they’ll tell you. For that reason alone I thought Wolverine would outpace shell heads opening take, but here’s where it gets tricky. Although Wolverine is not technically a sequel, it is in terms of box office potential. Take a look at how the X-Men movies performed.

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