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May 18

Written by: Bill Bonfanti
5/18/2009 12:18 PM 

The only new release this weekend, Angels & Demons, the sequel to 2006’s The Da Vinci Code, opened at #1 with a decent debut. Star Trek continued to set the box office on fire, enjoying an amazing second weekend and after a huge drop off its second weekend, popular mutant superhero, Wolverine, clawed his way to a big third weekend.
Despite quite a few poor reviews, Angels & Demons, based on the best-selling novel by Dan Brown, opened at #1 to the tune of $46.2M, right on target with my $45M prediction. Compared to the robust opening of The Da Vinci Code ($77M) in 2006, Angels opening is viewed as a bit of a disappointment, but in my opinion, I think the opening take was pretty solid. Angels really had no chance of soaring as high as Code for quite a few reasons. First, there was a slew of controversy with the Catholic Church surrounding Da Vinci and this always helps propel the box office, just ask Mel Gibson. Angels enjoyed no such caveat. The novel, Angels & Demons wasn’t as successful and didn’t sell nearly as many copies as Code. Finally, despite being a box office hit, The Da Vinci Code was poorly received by critics and audiences alike and this never bodes well for a sequel. With Memorial Day falling this weekend, Angels should fall about 55% over the 3 day portion of the weekend, bringing its total to about $85M after 10 days.
The new U.S.S Enterprise continued to soar in its second weekend, dropping just 43% (great for a big blockbuster) and beaming up another $43M and bringing its total to $147.6M after only 10 days. This was right in line with my forecast of a 45% drop. Star Trek has enjoyed wonderful reviews and should continue to soar over the next couple of weeks. Even though Wolverine opened bigger and has a week head start at multiplexes, Star Trek is already within striking distance of the X-man’s total cume of $151M and should surpass it in a matter of days. 
X-Men Origins: Wolverine stabilized from last weekend’s 69% freefall, dropping a mere 44% and slicing another $14.8M out of the box office. I expected Wolverine to fare better this weekend, but the minimal 44% drop was even less than the 50% drop I had predicted. If it continues to hold at multiplexes, Wolverine should be able to claw its way to the $200M mark by the end of its run. To see how the rest of my predictions fared, check out the chart below.
RANK
TITLE
MAY 15-17
MAY 8-10
% CHANGE
# OF THEATRES
# OF WEEKS
TOTAL
BILL SAID
1
Angels & Demons
$46.2M
N/A
N/A
3527
1
$48M
$45M
2
Star Trek
$43M
$75.2M
-43%
3860
2
$147M
$41.3M     -45%
3
X-Men Origins: Wolverine
$14.8M
$26.4M
-44%
3892
3
$151M
$13.2M     -50%
4
Ghosts of Girlfriends Past
$6.8M
$10.3M
-33%
3150
3
$40M
$6.6M     -35%
5
Obsessed
$4.5M
$6.5M
-31%
2634
4
$62.6M
$3.9M    -40%
6
17 Again
$3.4M
$4.2M
-20%
2450
5
$58.4M
$3M     -30%
7
Monsters vs. Aliens
$3M
$3.3M
-8%
1931
8
$190M
$2.3M     -30%
8
The Soloist
$2.4M
$3.9M
-39%
2022
4
$27.5M
$2.5M     -35%
9
Next Day Air
$2.3M
$4.1M
-45%
1139
2
$7.6M
$2.1M     -50%
10
Earth
$1.7M
$2.7M
-37%
1584
4
$29M
$1.7M     -35%

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