|
|
|
|
Nov
30
Written by:
Bill Bonfanti
11/30/2011 11:25 PM

BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS FOR THE WEEKEND OF DECEMBER 2-4
After a bloated five day Thanksgiving holiday, the box office should fall back to Earth this weekend. Traditionally, the weekend after Thanksgiving is a slow one at the box office and with no new films opening in wide release, this year should continue the pattern. After enjoying strong holds over the holiday, most holdover films will be in for a correction this weekend and should experience large declines. Last week’s trio of new releases, all aimed at families may not drop quite as hard as the other films in the Top 10, due to the fact that family dollars were spread thin between the titles. These films likely did not reach their full potential last weekend and many families may choose to go see whichever film they missed last weekend. Based on my estimates, the Top 10 will generate $77.7 million over the weekend, up about 3.6% from last year when Disney’s Tangled and Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 led the overall Top 10 to a total of $74.9 million.
The real question for the weekend is whether The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 can hang in there for a threepeat at the top of the charts. Last weekend, the vampire romance had no trouble at all fending off The Muppets, but it will be a much tighter race this weekend. If history is any indication, Breaking Dawn should drop another 65% or so this weekend. While films tend to experience huge declines the weekend after the Thanksgiving holiday, The Muppets may not experience the post-Thanksgiving tumble it normally would for a few reasons. The film is a true four quadrant hit, appealing to boys and girls of all ages. The word of mouth has been terrific and the film continues to have a strong presence on the social media sites. The fact that some family ticket sales were stolen away from any one of five competing family flicks last weekend will likely mean that those who missed it last weekend will likely come out to visit Kermit and friends this time around. Last year’s Thanksgiving family hit, Tangled dropped 56% last year at this time, but that film had very little competition for its target audience and satisfied a large portion of its audience in its first five days of release. All in all, The Muppets will likely experience a decline of about 40-45% which should be enough for it to leapfrog Twilight for the win this weekend.
To see the rest of my predictions for the weekend, check out the chart below.
Weekend Release Schedule, 2011 vs. 2010
All debuting titles for the weekend are in red.
DECEMBER 2-4 2011
|
RANK
|
TITLE
|
GENRE
|
DISTRIBUTOR/STUDIO
|
FILMGO’S PREDICTION
|
|
1
|
The Muppets
|
Family Comedy
|
Disney
|
$16.9M
-42%
|
|
2
|
The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1
|
Horror/Romance
|
Summit Entertainment
|
$15.0M
-64%
|
|
3
|
The Descendants
|
Drama
|
Fox Searchlight
|
$11.0M
+51%
|
|
4
|
Hugo
|
Adventure
|
Paramount
|
$7.1M
-38%
|
|
5
|
Arthur Christmas
|
Animated Adventure
|
Sony
|
$6.3M
-48%
|
|
6
|
Happy Feet Two
|
Animated Adventure
|
Warner Bros.
|
$5.9M
-56%
|
|
7
|
Jack and Jill
|
Comedy
|
Sony
|
$4.5M
-55%
|
|
8
|
Immortals
|
Action
|
Relativity Media
|
$4.3M
-52%
|
|
9
|
Tower Heist
|
Comedy
|
Universal
|
$3.4M
-53%
|
|
10
|
Puss In Boots
|
Animated Adventure
|
DreamWorks
|
$3.3M
-56%
|
TOTAL $77.7M
DECEMBER 3-5 2010
|
RANK
|
TITLE
|
GENRE
|
DISTRIBUTOR/STUDIO
|
WEEKEND GROSS
|
|
1
|
Tangled
|
Animated Adventure
|
Disney
|
$21.6M
-56%
|
|
2
|
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1
|
Adventure
|
Warner Bros.
|
$17.0M
-65%
|
|
3
|
Burlesque
|
Musical/Drama
|
Sony
|
$6.1M
-49%
|
|
4
|
Unstoppable
|
Action
|
20th Century Fox
|
$6.0M
-48%
|
|
5
|
Love & Other Drugs
|
Drama
|
20th Century Fox
|
$5.7M
-42%
|
|
6
|
MegaMind
|
Animated Adventure
|
Paramount
|
$4.9M
-61%
|
|
7
|
Due Date
|
Comedy
|
Warner Bros.
|
$4.1M
-42%
|
|
8
|
Faster
|
Action
|
CBS Films
|
$3.9M
-54%
|
|
9
|
The Warrior’s Way
|
Western
|
Relativity Media
|
$3.0M
New
|
|
10
|
The Next Three Days
|
Thriller/Suspense
|
Lionsgate
|
$2.6M
-45%
|
TOTAL $74.9M
Based on my estimates for the Friday to Sunday period, total box office will be up about 3.6% from 2010.
Tags:
1 comment(s) so far...
Re: The Muppets vs. Twilight Round 2
For anybody who is hoping to trial period to run should a Ugg Bailey Button tall sheepskin Ugg Bailey Button Boots boots 5815 Replica Ugg Boots argyle knit ” booties ” is Replica Ugg Boots Sale certainly phony, Ugg Tall Boots it’s most of the well-known details Ugg Classic Tall Boots it is important to gaze Ugg Classic Boots released meant Ugg Classic Short Boots for, when Ugg Short Boots using the Ugg Men Boots thoughts shifting, it’s Ugg Glove even more Ugg Slipper related UGG Classic Tall Boots Flower to in need of Ugg Mens Classic Short Boots Black realistic Ugg Short Leopard Boots valuation during Ugg Classic Boots Blue Patchwork the features and also Ugg Bailey Button Boots Chestnut valuation for manufacturewith the lowest UGG Classic Tall Metallic Boots Gold price. Pretty christian louboutin daffodile girl must christian louboutin daffodile shoes have five louboutin daffodile shoes pairs of high louboutin daffodile heels, every christian louboutin leopard pretty girl christian louboutin leopard shoes must have Christian Louboutin Spiked this shoe Christian Louboutin Spikes in 5 pairs Christian Louboutin Outlet of shoes, Christian Louboutin Ankle Boots just enough to make their own on different Christian Louboutin Daffodile 160mm Aurora Boreale Pumps occasions Christian Louboutin Daffodile 160mm Leather Black Pumps are “enough” enough Christian Louboutin Lady Daf Platform Mary Jane Pumps beautiful! Christian Louboutin Lady Daf Platform Mary Jane Pumps Black First double:Christian Louboutin Daf Booty 160mm Ankle Boots Leopard dark blue Christian Louboutin Big Lips Booty 120 Leopard Print bow high Christian Louboutin Booties Bridget's Back Spiked Gold heels, for occasions: christian louboutin sale Christian Louboutin Lady Peep Spikes 150mm Pumps it is a good Christian Louboutin Very Mix Peep Toe Pumps modification Christian Louboutin Boots Babel Platform Leather Black legs, make you look sedate and sweet, the best friends to wear to go to you, let your old friends always sweet to you as a goddess. Second pair: White glossy evening shoes, suitable for occasions: Since it is evening shoes, of course, the most suitable to participate in a variety of friends to wear more formal occasions, such as to a good friend as maid of honor, to participate in the company year-end party, christian louboutin online and so on. The third double: leather knot fish head shoes, suitable for occasions: of course office friends. Into the workplace, the heels should be your essential items in a wardrobe. Shoes at work should not be too unconventional, but also to wear clothing with their own personality, the election it is correct. The fourth double: solid patent leather high heels, for occasions: going out on business when the more able the better of course, this style is simple and engaging and high heels is the preferred color. Fifth double: round white bow shoes, christian louboutin sale online suitable for occasions: the experience of white, I believe you are going to be amazing; he’s the most suitable for wearing to date friends. Burberry designer Burberry handbags outlet handbags are Burberry outlet the ultimate replica burberry outlet accessory burberry scarves for burberry shawl outlet any outfit, burberry sunglasses outlet and can be burberry jackets outlet used as burberry shirts outlet fashion important Burberry Outlet accessories. Burberry nova check gives a very stylish and personality and it makes this design Burberry Outlet one of the most burberry belts popular brands in designer handbags. Burberry purses of various sizes, shapes, colors and prices. In addition, you can find a lot of great designer Burberry purses. This requires different to suit different tastes. You can use your own imagination and additional extra features and beautiful Burberry purses.The buying and selling price tag just merely coordinate options gals of every solo one age bracket critically need to acquire its Burberry Handbags to acquire acceptable even now reduce decrease you spend for together. Layout Burberry graphic designers are in actuality producing soil breaking recommendations to type fretting hand baggage trendier by method of the prompt. I’m just consistently undoubtedly as a whole lot as day pertaining to advertisings expresses you in actuality celebrated types and extremely stars carrying all-around example Burberry purses and handbags gals from all of colors building. LV and Hermes hermes outlet Picotin hermes outlet online opposite. In the hermes handbags eyes of hermes handbags outlet LVMH chairman Bernard Arnault, the luxury hermes bags outlet is just a business; but Dumai there, elegance is a hermes bags power.A perfect hermes purses ambush! Recovered hermes wallets at all before, LVMH Moet Hennessy (LVMH) chairman Bernard Arnault (BernardArnault) has hermes belts been tearing down the 17.1% of Hermes Plume shares, has become one In addition to the Hermes family, the largest outside shareholder. And until he announced the news before the Hermes family has been kept in the dark.Clearly, hermes belt Hermes Wallets CEO Patrick Thomas (PatrickThomas) eyes, so that the acquisition “is not friendly.” He choked back anger, please Arnault “self-exit”, and has repeatedly stressed the Hermes family, the internal “absolute unity and desire the same,” holds more than 70% of the shares, as well as anti-takeover strategy and many of the poison pill plan And Arnold, but calmly told the media, LVMH will not seek a hostile takeover, it will not seek seat on the board of Hermes, “We will respect the independence of the Hermes Handbags family, the family and the French to preserve its character to contribute to … ”How these words sound familiar. He has repeatedly said the same thing, almost no one spared from Arnott’s palm. Independent brand that was he who restrained the pride of the ruthless crushing one by one, and eventually labeled Arnott type symbol to show off the label, reduced his profit tool. To approve the Miu Miu outlet caliber of pre-owned Miu miu drop miu miu bags This year , try buying from a seller that you are already familiar with. If you think about yourself to be a Miu Miu bags outlet beginner in miu miu purses handbag purchasing,miu miu outlet online miu miu purse sale miu miu wallets your very best miu miu sunglasses choice is always to miu miu heels discover sellers on reputableonline retailers or sites. When looking for on the internet gently used Miu miu handbags retailers make sure to check out their own background information. Attempt to choose a vendor that's been in the commercial not less than more than a year if at all miu miu flats possible. Whenever you buy Miu miu handbags for that garments accessory line miu miu borse, retain in ideas which conventional as well as cool Miu miu purses in your purse product line are just as vitally important as custom brand Miu miu handbags. particular developments miu miu totes outlet, miu miu wristlet onlinethis kind of because leather-based Miu miu handbags and traditional leather-based wallets possess withstood the design and style trends of your time. Operating an on the net shop that carries a garments item collection this kind of because Miu miu handbags requirements maintaining check of fashion trends as well as lifestyles. Miu Miu bags aren't simply fashionable but elegant and exceptional as well. But you can find high quality custom miu miu bags in Luxebagsale.
By bruce-leo on
12/16/2011 8:55 PM
|

|
|
|